MCRE11: Q2/2026 Report Reveals Warehouse With 11.6% Vacancy — And 30% of Contracts Expiring Within 6 Months
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MCRE11: Q2/2026 Report Reveals Warehouse With 11.6% Vacancy — And 30% of Contracts Expiring Within 6 Months

The second-quarter quarterly filing of this Brazilian REIT corrects the occupancy picture of the fund's sole direct property and explains why Q2 results fell short of Q1.

What did the MCRE11 Q2/2026 quarterly report actually reveal?

Two corrections and one explanation. The Santa Cruz warehouse — the fund's sole directly owned property — is not fully leased: vacancy stands at 11.63% across a total area of 100,514.92 m². And the Q2 financial result of R$ 30.52M (approx. US$ 5.5M) came in below Q1's R$ 42.97M not because the fund deteriorated, but because Q1 included R$ 19.1M in one-time TVM (fixed-income securities) divestment gains that did not repeat in Q2.

Note: MCRE11 is a Brazilian REIT (FII — Fundo de Investimento Imobiliário), a tax-exempt real estate investment fund listed on the B3 exchange. Results are reported in Brazilian reais (R$).

Warehouse vacancy 11.63% total area 100,514 m²
Q2 financial result R$ 30.52M vs R$ 42.97M in Q1
Contracts expiring ≤6 months 30.59% 15.71% in ≤3m + 14.88% in 3-6m
Tenant delinquency 0% single tenant: transport sector
H1 2026 distributions declared R$ 73.66M 100.23% of semester result

Santa Cruz warehouse: the vacancy that wasn't on the record

Until now, the Santa Cruz logistics warehouse had been described in various analyses as "100% leased." The Q2/2026 quarterly filing (Informe Trimestral) filed with Brazil's securities regulator (CVM) tells a different story: vacancy is 11.6301% across a property with a gross leasable area of 100,514.92 m² — considerably larger than the 84,000 m² some prior analyses had cited. On the positive side, delinquency is zero: whoever occupies the space is paying on time.

There is a single tenant, operating entirely in the transportation sector. That concentration puts all the leasing risk in one contract, one industry. And the contract maturity schedule tightens the picture: 15.71% of lease contracts mature within 3 months and another 14.88% between 3 and 6 months — meaning 30.59% of the property's lease book expires within six months. Indexation is split between 69.4% IGP-M (Brazil's general price index, historically more volatile than IPCA) and 30.6% IPCA (Brazil's official consumer price index).

This is already visible in the fund's property income line. Rental revenue fell from R$ 5.69M in Q1 to R$ 2.89M in Q2 — a 49% decline. With maintenance expenses rising from R$ 1.92M to R$ 2.08M, the physical property's net result collapsed from R$ 4.84M to just R$ 790K — an 84% drop. The warehouse, already the smallest of MCRE11's three income legs, generated far less this quarter.

Why Q2 results fell — and why the core is still intact

The R$ 12.45M drop from Q1 to Q2 looks alarming but requires context. The driver was a non-recurring item: in Q1, MCRE11 booked R$ 19.1M in gains from TVM divestments (realizations from the fund's CRI and FII portfolio). In Q2, that same line came in at R$ 19,852.83 — essentially zero. Everything else moved in a different direction.

TVM interest income — the recurring part — grew from R$ 22.1M to R$ 31.6M, up 43%. The performance fee (on a cash basis) held steady at -R$ 3.07M in both quarters. The net picture: the Q1 result was boosted by capital gains; Q2 reflects the underlying recurring engine more accurately.

Where MCRE11's money actually sits. The fund's largest positions are in FIIs (other Brazilian REITs) and CRIs (Brazilian real estate receivables certificates — similar to mortgage-backed securities), not in the warehouse. Top holdings: FII Mauá Propriedades at R$ 183.1M (Q1: R$ 180.3M), Mauá Capital Logística at R$ 99.7M (Q1: R$ 96.7M), and multiple OPEA CRI series totaling over R$ 430M. Cash in Selic-rate treasury funds fell from R$ 58.5M to R$ 50.9M. No acquisitions or disposals took place in Q2.

For the full first half of 2026, the accumulated financial result reached R$ 73.483M, with declared distributions of R$ 73.655M — 100.23% of the semester result, drawing minimally on reserves. Of that, R$ 61.38M was already paid out during the period, leaving R$ 12.28M to be distributed at semester close. Monthly distributions have been running at R$ 0.11/unit, with management guidance of R$ 0.10/unit for the second half of 2026.

What unitholders should monitor going forward

What to watchWhy it matters
Warehouse lease renewals 30.59% of the property's lease book expires within 6 months, with a single transportation-sector tenant. Renewing, renegotiating at a lower rate, or losing the tenant directly affects rental income, which already dropped 49% in Q2.
R$ 0.10/unit guidance delivery With semester distributions at 100.23% of earnings, reserve headroom is thin. The question is whether the TVM interest engine (up 43%) can sustain that payout without the one-time capital gains that padded Q1.
IGP-M behavior 69.4% of warehouse contracts are indexed to IGP-M, Brazil's general price index, which can diverge sharply from IPCA. A high IGP-M environment could boost rents; a negative one could work in reverse.

Valuation context. The published analysis of MCRE11 uses a net asset value (VP/cota) of R$ 10.14 per unit and a P/NAV (P/VP) of 0.848 against a market price of approximately R$ 8.60. The Q2 quarterly filing does not change those patrimonial figures — it provides the operational detail behind them: where recurring income comes from (TVM), where the risk concentration lies (the warehouse), and how much of the result is being distributed.