PMLL11: dividend of R$ 1.00 confirmed, but the reserve is falling Relevance7,0
Intermediate PTENES

PMLL11: dividend of R$ 1.00 confirmed, but the reserve is falling

The fifth month in a row of R$ 1.00/unit came with a catch — a quarter of that comes out of the safe, and the safe has an expiry date.

Preço (17/06) R$ 104,57
VP/unit (may) R$ 116,67
P/VP 0,90
DY 12m 10,9%
DPS monthly R$ 1,00
Occupation 95,9%
Cotistas 135.622
Nota 7,6

The dividend of R$ 1.00 is guaranteed for all 2026?

Yes — but with a caveat that changes everything. The management of Pátria-VBI confirmed in the Management Report of April the guidance of R$ 1.00/unit for the two semesters of 2026, and May was the fifth consecutive month delivering exactly that (Jan to May). The problem is not value: it is A. composição dele. Of these R$ 1.00, only about R$ 0.75 come from the recurring result of the fund. The other R$ 0.25 are coming out of the accumulated reserve — a safe that is quickly emptying.

The Structured Monthly Report of May (delivered in 15/06) makes this explicit. A rentabilidade patrimonial do mês foi negative in 0.4806%% 0.4806%, and the VP/unit fell from R$ 117.01 (abr) to R$ 116.67 (mai) — a fall of R$ 0.34. When the fund distributes more than it generates and still sees the equity by share fall, the message is direct: Part of today's dividend is money from the past.

The key point of this month: R$ 1.00 is not at risk in the very short term, but yours. sustentabilidade depends entirely on transactions that have not yet closed. The reserve that bridges the gap between the appellant (R$ 0.75) and the distributed (R$ 1.00) has an estimated breath of only ~3 months at the current pace.

How long does the reservation last?

Here's the number the unitholder needs to stick in his head. The accumulated reserve has fallen from R$ 1.71/unit in February para ~R$ 0,78/cota em abril. That's a consumption of approximately R$ 0.25/month — exactly the size of the non-recurring "add-on" that supports the R$ 1.00.

Meses Mês Reserva/cota Consumo
Fev/2026R$ 1,71—
Mar/2026~R$ 1,28~R$ 0.25/month
Abr/2026~R$ 0,78~R$ 0.25/month
Aug/2026 (proj.)~R$ 0,00Exhaust exhaustion

In simple accounts: R$ 0.78 divided by R$ 0.25/month gives just over three months. Se nada mudar no resultado recorrente, a reserva It is sold out by around August of 2026XZ. From there, either the bottom raises the appellant or the R$ 1.00 stops fitting. It is not catastrophism — it is arithmetic of the report itself.

What needs to happen to close the gap

The management bet is not to cheer on the lasting reserve - it is to eliminate the need for it. The plan is to raise the recurring result of the current ~R$ 0.75 to near (or above) R$ 1.00 before the safe runs out. For this there is a robust pipeline in progress:

Transação Valor Efeito esperado
Acquisition 5 shoppings (VISC11)R$ 257 Mi R$ 257 MiEntry with cap rate of 9.4% — adds NOI recurring
Venda Park Sul (+ swap Taboão)R$ 159.5 Mi R$ 159.5 MiRecycle capital and release cash to reinvest.
Integração RBR Malls—Eldorado, Plaza Sul and Higienópolis Patio to portfolio

O cap rate de 9,4% da carteira da VISC11 é o ponto mais importante: comprando NOI a esse retorno e tendo o caixa da venda do Park Sul para girar, a matemática Can you help me? bring the appellant to the level of the distributed dividend. But "may" is the word operante. None of these transactions were fully integrated into the May result. There is a real risk of timing: if the integration takes more than three months, the fund will have to choose between cutting the dividend or stretching with extraordinary resources.

Why this is an aggressive strategy, not a reckless strategy: Patria-VBI is the largest independent fund manager of FIIs in Brazil (R$ 309 bi under management) and has a history of executing large transactions. Signaling R$ 1.00 while recycling portfolio is a way of "buying market time" — keeping the unit attractive during the 7 issue. The risk is that the timing of transactions does not match that of the safe.

The base of quotationists has grown — and that tells a story.

A die that passes beaten but deserves attention: the unitholders jumped for. 135.622, +6,122 above the previous estimate of 129,500. This growth is likely a reflection of the 7 issue (R$ 1 bi) attracting new money. We have already dealt with the mechanism of this capture in the na. Analysis of the right of preference of 7a issuance.

The positive side: liquidity and spraying increase, which is healthy for a FII brick. The side to watch: the emission Not yet liquiduu liquidu — as cotas seguem em 13.982.093 no período de maio, com liquidação prevista para junho. When the R$ 1 bi enters, it will enter. Dilute or VP/quote temporarily. until capital is effectively allocated in the shopping malls that will buy NOI. It is the classic "stop money weighs before rendering".

What about the balance sheet? Operational improvements, but the reassessment charged expensive.

In the operational, there are reasons for moderate optimism. The NOI in the accumulated of the year rises above the year. +5,3%, with emphasis on Suzano (+19.6%). Madureira still appears negative (-4.1%), but in recovery. O resultado financeiro do 1º trimestre somou R$ 53,19 Mi (R$ 1,27/cota/mês bruto), com distribuível de R$ 3,00/cota no trimestre — exatamente R$ 1,00/mês. In other words,, the fund is operating at the limit of the guidance, no clearance.

Two points weigh on the other side of the scale. First, the re-evaluation of CBRE in December of 2025 brought a cut of CBRE. -4,7% Assets, with significant falls in Metropolitano Barra and Madureira — this explains part of the pressure on VP/unit. Secondly, leverage rose slightly to. 10,4%, with debt in CRI of R$ 169.87 Mi (depreciation, duration ~7 years). Level still comfortable, but in high trajectory.

Conflict of interest to monitor: The acquisition of the portfolio RBR Malls is an intra-fund manager transaction (Patria buying from Patria). This is not forbidden or necessarily bad, but it requires that the unit holder follow the independent reports and terms — price, cap rate and governance. Transactions between related parties call for healthy skepticism.

The quoter should reinvest in the DP or just keep?

With the quote of R$ 104.57 against a VP of R$ 116.67, the one PMLL11 the negotiation to negotiate 0.90 P/VP — about 10% off. For those who are already quoters and believe in the execution of transactions, there is a margin of security in the price. The DY of 10.9% is competitive in a scenario from Selic to 14.50% already in drop cycle (second cut), which favors the reprecification of discounted brick FIIs.

The decision on reinvestment in the right of preference depends on how much the investor trusts that the claimant will rise before the reserve runs out. Whoever enters now is buying one. Turnaround theses of recurring turnaround theses, not a perpetual income already stabilized. It is a difference that needs to be made clear before you can contribute.

Verdict: COMPRA (ACUMULAR) — Note 7.6X

The R$ 1.00/unit is confirmed for 2026, but it is a dividend. parcialmente subsidiado pela reserva, which has breath of ~3 months at current rhythm. The thesis stands if — and only if — transactions (VISC11 to cap 9.4%, sale of the South Park, integration RBR Malls) raise the applicant of the ~R$ 0.75 to close to R$ 1.00 before August.

For who it is: Investor of intermediate profile who understands that he is buying an execution thesis, accepts the risk of timing between transactions and reservation, and wants to take advantage of the discount of ~10% on the VP in a shopping center managed by the largest independent house in the country. For those who are not: If you are looking for a secure and predictable monthly income — this quotation should wait for the reserve to normalize or the applicant to confirm the R$ 1.00 without supplement.

Ação: ACUMULAR gradually, monitoring the recurring result in the June and July reports. If the applicant does not show signs of rising until the reserve is exhausted, reevaluate for MANTER.